Well-Off-Millennium
0x5dfd4ab9e3b8002237c242607d9789dc55e6951e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.45
Realised
$-9.28
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?
90 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri Presidential Election?
66 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
59 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
35 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
35 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
35 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?
33 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
28 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$9.84Jan 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$9.86Jan 8, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$2.80Dec 12, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$2.81Dec 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$4.64Dec 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$4.65Dec 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.52Dec 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.52Dec 12, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.14Nov 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.29Nov 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.13Nov 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.27Nov 27, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Nov 27, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.20Nov 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.12Nov 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.24Nov 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Nov 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.23Nov 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.12Nov 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.24Nov 27, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.