Experienced-Safe
0x5e0812fb448c27d468c5179e1b8d1b7acbc4b2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-343.94
Realised
$6.99
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5?
505 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?
371 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?
172 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?
160 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?
156 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$7.61Jul 14, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12PM ET$0.69Jul 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.02Jul 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 11?$0.90Jul 11, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 11?$2.42Jul 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?$2.10Jul 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?$3.68Jul 11, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.70Jul 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$2.95Jul 10, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$10.37Jul 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$4.63Jul 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$4.65Jul 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.69Jul 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$3.11Jul 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$4.52Jul 8, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.31Jul 8, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.27Jul 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9AM ET$2.26Jul 7, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9AM ET$3.88Jul 7, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.