Alarmed-Tangerine
0x5e1555b1a8f9f998856e03fe88f78bb7950c9de6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 28?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
1078 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 19?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 10?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 22?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?
789 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
710 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 13?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 23?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?$105.11Jun 21, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?$105.01Jun 9, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5?$105.11Jun 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5?$105.01Jun 5, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.00Jun 5, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$1.00Jun 5, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?$1.00Jun 5, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$102.20Jun 5, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$102.00May 25, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$3.42May 25, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 22?$1.10May 25, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$107.21May 25, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$107.01May 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 22?$1.10May 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$3.00May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$111.11May 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$111.01May 14, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $74.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.