Lone-Bead
0x5e2d7b3837d397dab597a900ec61d18f52f6cc82
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-898.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- OVER
Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5
342 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-51.25
- HAMBURGER SV
Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)
304 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-79.05
- YES
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
295 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-76.59
- UNDER
Brooksby vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
292 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-67.16
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 19 above $520?
292 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.51
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?
290 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-66.68
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 19 above $420?
289 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- YES
Will The Plague win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
254 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.11
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
249 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
239 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?$14.07May 28, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?$240.74Apr 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?$76.59Mar 26, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?$195.00Mar 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Armenia (-2.5)$24.54Mar 25, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be less than 5%?$314.63Mar 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-03-22?$50.14Mar 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be less than 5%?$254.85Mar 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?$67.21Mar 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $146-$148 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$17.10Mar 9, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)$79.05Mar 8, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrooksby vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$67.16Mar 6, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCharlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5$51.25Mar 5, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fran Vanhoutte (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$111.34Feb 21, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 21?$236.10Feb 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fran Vanhoutte (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$108.56Feb 21, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$105.68Feb 21, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 21?$233.50Feb 18, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 21?$2.40Feb 18, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$233.61Feb 18, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $75.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".