0x5e2dddb8314e645a2532d0665c9f78b1f8d695d2
0x5e2dddb8314e645a2532d0665c9f78b1f8d695d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-563.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?
795 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-87.45
- ZVEREV
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti
330 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?
310 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-189.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 21?
120 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
15 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Indiana" by April 4?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- PARKIN
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick Parkin
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 24 at 5 PM ET?$1.10May 24, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP above $2.50 on May 23?$1.25May 22, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.50 on May 23?$1.65May 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$1.15May 20, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$3.00May 20, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$2.85May 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$3.30May 20, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?$6.30May 19, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?$6.30May 19, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down on May 16?$5.00May 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down on May 16?$2.70May 15, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$3.65May 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$1.80May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti$57.00May 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti$3.00May 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti$6.00May 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti$6.00May 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti$126.00May 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?$189.10Apr 14, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kim Jong Un" between April 7 and April 11?$190.00Apr 13, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $29.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.