Basic-Android
0x5e2f65806d9db92c9e130a6f2a8feea40d5bc267
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$100.71
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$12.78
$0.01
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Grizzlies
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$4.80
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$10.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$9.29
$0.06
- NO
Will He Xiaopeng be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
8 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.06
$0.06
- NO
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$6.43
$0.03
- NO
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.50
$0.01
- NO
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$5.41
$0.01
- NO
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$3.92
$0.02
- NO
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$3.61
$0.01
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.