Punctual-Perception
0x5e3214dbac82e740c0563ef1f6b7e93b77343408
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$18.9K
Total PnL
$-592.79
Realised
$288.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3510 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$265.41
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
15100 shares @ 20.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$51.02
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2640 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$118.80
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
2422 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.3K
$15.74
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
1834 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.8K
$5.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6900 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-320.85
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
1300 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$97.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$579.90
$33.90
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$561.00
$57.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$457.50
$32.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.35Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.76Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$2.2KJul 25, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$4.55Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$11.20Jul 24, 12:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.51Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.23Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.67Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.26Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$98.56Jul 20, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$1.16Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$18.21Jul 20, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $179.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.