0x5e39013a1d7c4b502ad2ea073d7e8a0469ca352c
0x5e39013a1d7c4b502ad2ea073d7e8a0469ca352c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.9K
Total PnL
$-143.9K
Realised
$13.1K
Win rate
67%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
9158 shares @ 76.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$-2.4K
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
2420 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.4K
$34.91
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?
2000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.0K
$20.00
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
2770 shares @ 88.6¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.0K
$-488.60
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17500 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-655.28
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14944 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-643.09
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9500 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-871.38
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3200 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-299.10
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
80/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
81 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.