Content-Faith
0x5e449db35da5c46b0303156c4f275908e1c90c4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$140.87
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
4291 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-274.91
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
3682 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.10
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
3579 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-280.02
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
2768 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
2394 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-543.27
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
2333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
1528 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-42.32
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
885 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$2.13Jul 20, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$2.11Jul 20, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$4.74Jul 20, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.03Jul 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.01Jul 20, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$3.83Jul 20, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.01Jul 20, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.07Jul 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.29Jul 20, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.19Jul 20, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$12.88Jul 20, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.22Jul 20, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.26Jul 20, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.33Jul 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.27Jul 20, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.22Jul 20, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.20Jul 20, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.