Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

166

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-5.4K

Realised

$35.91

Win rate

100%

12 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 166

YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
18000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-39.90

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.1KFeb 16, 22:46 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$0.06Feb 16, 00:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.02Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.05Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.01Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.05Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.01Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.04Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.15Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.21Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.06Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.18Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.30Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.28Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.44Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.36Feb 15, 10:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.26Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.44Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.30Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.56Feb 15, 10:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence40 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $23.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 10:18 UTC
Last active: Feb 16, 22:46 UTC
Win rate sample: 12 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:19:44 UTC·src:Polymarket Data