Unimportant-Insurance
0x5e470f66f5e88dc327fc061244b0c321ba9be95f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$35.91
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
18000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
380 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.1KFeb 16, 22:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.06Feb 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.02Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.05Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.01Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.05Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.01Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.04Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.15Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.21Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.06Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.18Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.30Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.28Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.44Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.36Feb 15, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.44Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.30Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.56Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.26Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.