Gripping-Proponent-Sailor
0x5e517b3fab504c2c6f0a92aa6be7761b1addccaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-695.35
Win rate
21%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
1393 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
1207 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
1042 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1024 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-82.67
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
945 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-637.00
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
925 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
889 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.60
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
836 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$1.16Aug 4, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.04Aug 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$1.01Aug 4, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros$1.03Aug 4, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCS Cienciano vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5$5.10Aug 3, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCS Cienciano vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5$5.01Aug 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-02?$0.19Aug 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-02?$9.78Aug 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?$5.04Aug 3, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?$2.01Aug 3, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-02?$8.47Aug 3, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCS Cienciano vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Club Universitario de Deportes 1st Half O/U 0.5$3.16Aug 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCS Cienciano vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: CS Cienciano 1st Half O/U 1.5$3.18Aug 3, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Aug 3, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Aug 3, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$13.08Aug 3, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$2.03Aug 3, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.01Aug 3, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.11Aug 3, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.