Unripe-Usage-Lawmaker
0x5e5260ef2e3618e02705b234ac1a8cd1086c9af9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$34.99
Total PnL
$-198.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.06
$-0.94
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.80
$-1.20
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.13
$-1.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
390 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.06Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.07Jul 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$105.11Jul 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.34Jul 14, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$26.42Jul 14, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$138.89Jul 14, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.07Jul 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$26.43Jul 14, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.27Jul 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.26Jul 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$23.55Jul 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.07Jul 14, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.28Jul 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$19.79Jul 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.26Jul 14, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.32Jul 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.32Jul 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$26.40Jul 14, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.33Jul 14, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $10.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.