Present-Possible
0x5e55d8b6f4a2c0bc3c1215cc1a1c22d822309a76
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-207.51
Win rate
0%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
1800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
120 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
114 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
111 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$3.40Jun 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$13.36Jun 30, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$13.36Jun 30, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$11.84Jun 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 30?$11.01Jun 29, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 30?$10.07Jun 29, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$76.81May 30, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$35.05May 30, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$52.66May 30, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$49.71May 30, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$56.49May 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$44.20May 30, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$50.00May 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$49.53May 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$49.91May 30, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$50.00May 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$49.53May 29, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$35.25May 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$28.59May 29, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$36.67May 29, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $53.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.