Affectionate-Response
0x5e5b2273210642ffb741d49f233fb49edc13297d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
54 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
49 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
43 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
42 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
39 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
36 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$8.62Jun 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$5.08Jun 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5.06Jun 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$5.11Jun 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$5.11Jun 27, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$16.39Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$16.67Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$10.20Jun 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$5.12Jun 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$10.12Jun 26, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$10.12Jun 26, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.12Jun 22, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$5.13Jun 22, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$46.15Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$30.31Jun 19, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$22.39Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.25Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$15.15Jun 9, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.06Jun 9, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$15.18Jun 9, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.