Impeccable-Event
0x5e5fbf5c4ad7856c4ae99f9452c8d4e02fbc5bd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$21.52
Total PnL
$-1.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
GPT ads by December 31?
1 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Dec 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 3, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Dec 3, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.