Plastic-Yang
0x5e660c7068be727ee061570fcdaa85f21d46d73d
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.40
Total PnL
$-10.64
Realised
$-1.26
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will anyone say "Prize" 5+ times during Big Brother E11?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.95
$-0.16
- NO
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
6 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Spurs
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)$1.01Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)$0.80Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)$1.01Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Prize" 5+ times during Big Brother E11?$1.01Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$89.90Jul 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$70.13Jul 28, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?$39.96Jul 28, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$1.47Jul 28, 11:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?$40.00Jul 24, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$70.01Jul 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$69.78Jul 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$70.01Jul 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$90.00Jul 24, 14:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$89.88Jun 22, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $81.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.