0x5e69a26c8ca0c9c7ca1867d7d255b0fbb7befecc
0x5e69a26c8ca0c9c7ca1867d7d255b0fbb7befecc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-14.50
Realised
$0.69
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 14?
71 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$70.61
$0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 13?
70 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$69.72
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C or below on May 13?
66 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$66.11
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 13?
55 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$54.70
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$50.45
$0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 12?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$50.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or below on May 13?
50 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$50.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$50.25
$0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 13?
47 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$46.91
$0.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 14?
45 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$45.40
$0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 13?$4.96May 12, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 13?$9.99May 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?$4.90May 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 13?$49.54May 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 13?$49.49May 12, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 12?$0.15May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on May 13?$1.10May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?$1.16May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$4.99May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 12?$5.98May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?$7.05May 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 12?$11.82May 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on May 12?$0.81May 12, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?$19.96May 12, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on May 13?$47.30May 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 13?$6.93May 12, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 12?$14.98May 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 12?$4.92May 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 13?$4.85May 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 13?$4.85May 12, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $12.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.