Half-Scheme
0x5ea284bb13db26c76529a944e6bf9497c8c5e97f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
41%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on March 29?
16030 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-82.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C or below on March 29?
13500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-23.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 29?
10937 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-101.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 26?
8539 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-74.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9?
7780 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-673.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?
7162 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-253.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 27?
6606 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 9?
6486 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-78.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 15?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 4?
6000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.12Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- MERGEWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$500.00Jul 3, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$10.40Jul 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$543.60Jul 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$450.00Jul 3, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$45.75Jul 3, 10:04 UTC
- MERGEWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$863.32Jul 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$0.03Jul 3, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$5.20Jul 3, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$2.85Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$2.88Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$15.07Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$1.34Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$254.80Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$1.03Jul 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$16.50Jul 3, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$31.63Jul 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$0.41Jul 3, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$0.40Jul 3, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?$1.05Jul 3, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $40.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.