0x5ea6d0d3f182162b319b82cbdd92b293ec0b13d5
0x5ea6d0d3f182162b319b82cbdd92b293ec0b13d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$43.46
Total PnL
$0.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$10.88
$0.94
- YES
Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$10.05
$0.11
- YES
Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.88
$-0.06
- NO
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
19 shares @ 49.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.80
$-0.29
- NO
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-0.01
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.34
$0.10
- NO
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.02
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$10.04Aug 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$1.61Aug 8, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Aug 8, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega$4.75Aug 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?$1.10Aug 8, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.01Aug 8, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$10.01Aug 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$10.06Aug 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Aug 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega$3.11Aug 8, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$10.72Aug 8, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Aug 8, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$1.10Aug 8, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$1.10Aug 8, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.