Third-Integrity
0x5ea746eb7938e4bb62b62b5ed4f0ae88809d8cdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$266.85
Total PnL
$-508.91
Realised
$30.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
148 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$148.00
$74.00
- NO
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
36 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$36.30
$18.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
28 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$28.00
$14.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$26.06
$13.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$9.49
$4.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.00
$4.50
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.99
$2.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jan 4, 00:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$300.00Jan 3, 14:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 3, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 2, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 1, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 31, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 29, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 28, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 27, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 26, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 25, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 24, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 23, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 22, 00:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$4.66Dec 21, 20:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$4.66Dec 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.69Dec 21, 20:00 UTC
- SPLITFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$26.06Dec 21, 19:59 UTC
- SPLITWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?$36.30Dec 21, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $18.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.