Previous-Invoice
0x5eb1261a3cfc76316da540e2e4d242da2c286be9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-55.28
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
378 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
216 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-89.23
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 6?
169 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
153 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-63.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?$50.10Jul 23, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 22?$50.10Jul 23, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?$49.67Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?$50.05Jul 22, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 22?$49.62Jul 21, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 20?$21.98Jul 21, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 20?$25.35Jul 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 20?$21.80Jul 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?$49.62Jul 20, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 19?$50.71Jul 20, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 20?$25.00Jul 20, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 19?$50.00Jul 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 19?$49.56Jul 19, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 19?$49.52Jul 19, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 19?$50.05Jul 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 19?$49.67Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 18?$25.02Jul 18, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 18?$5.54Jul 18, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 18?$26.00Jul 18, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 18?$50.02Jul 18, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $27.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.