Paltry-Zinc
0x5ec7e154a636cb617b78c17a34e440c0ee8841d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.47
Total PnL
$-10.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
U.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Diddy?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025?$1.00Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.00Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$1.00Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$1.00Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Diddy?$1.00Jan 8, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 8, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Jan 8, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 8, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$1.00Jan 8, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Trump?$1.00Jan 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election?$2.15Jan 8, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$6.25Jan 8, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$1.00May 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election?$2.00May 21, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.