Bronze-Imbalance
0x5ecd5de80710c532ddcf566ab4cf2cce5a3d8dac
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$43.98
Total PnL
$-189.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.73
$12.73
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$21.25
$20.25
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Will Park win by decision?
529 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Will Park win by KO/TKO/DQ?
522 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
118 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-17.77
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- FLETCHER
UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. Fletcher
84 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.04
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YANNIS
UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$17.77Aug 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$5.00Aug 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS congress stock trading ban in 2025?$5.00Aug 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan $27.78Aug 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. Fletcher$20.04Aug 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejos$10.00Aug 2, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornolle$10.00Aug 2, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovics$10.00Aug 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan $10.00Aug 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$5.00Aug 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$5.00Aug 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$4.00Aug 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by August 31?$1.00Aug 2, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$10.00Aug 2, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes $10.00Aug 2, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis $10.00Aug 2, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Will Park win by decision?$50.00Aug 2, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Will Park win by KO/TKO/DQ?$50.00Aug 2, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 2, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 2, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.