Cumbersome-Prevalence
0x5ecdb22f61c77414f865e9c77675113652a558ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-882.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 1PM ET
739 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-369.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 2PM ET
496 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-248.00
- OVER
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
216 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-116.64
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 3PM ET
195 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-97.50
- UNDER
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- OVER
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- OVER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- OVER
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$6.00Jul 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.94Jul 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$2.94Jul 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.45Jul 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$7.69Jul 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$0.91Jul 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$2.78Jul 10, 08:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$143.94Jul 3, 09:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5$2.98Jul 2, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$6.50Jul 1, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$0.94Jun 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$2.12Jun 30, 08:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$2.75Jun 28, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.