0x5edb49bc8dd80aa73f3aaf05c3b825898bc2a3e7
0x5edb49bc8dd80aa73f3aaf05c3b825898bc2a3e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$20.00
$19.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.17Mar 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.83Mar 17, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.