Adorable-Person
0x5edc4a28c6a401bb91648be4c15e757210e64d68
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-380.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?
454 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.58
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
121 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?
100 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
78 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.78Jul 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.58Jul 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5$2.04Jul 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.64Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.01Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$2.60Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.27Jul 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 6, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$2.33Jul 6, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.80Jul 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$5.11Jul 1, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?$0.90Jun 21, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?$1.02Jun 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$7.06Jun 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$0.14Jun 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$2.36Jun 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-17?$15.57Jun 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$10.14Jun 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$10.65Jun 17, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.