Masculine-Reparation
0x5ee18c08bb91e753055587d904acc6daa96c9801
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$206.79
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$0.46
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
168 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$132.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
2721 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$70.75
$-9.05
- NO
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
670 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.68
$-9.71
- YES
Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
385 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.19
$-2.50
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
21312 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-285.45
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
9307 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-190.46
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
9280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
7714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-53.99
- ZIMBABWE
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe
7435 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.52
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
4500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$5.12Jul 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$27.63Jul 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$27.63Jul 29, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$134.12Jul 29, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$27.63Jul 29, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$8.28Jul 29, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.13Jul 27, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$2.69Jul 25, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$12.25Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.64Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.64Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.64Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.63Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0.61Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLThe Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants$3.87Jul 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants$1.02Jul 23, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMThe Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants$17.50Jul 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kings$2.22Jul 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kings$8.29Jul 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kings$1.13Jul 23, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.