Whimsical-Leave
0x5ee7d204940ed7fbc3d5927d20913f8d23445a3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$11.57
Total PnL
$-80.03
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
5 shares @ 54.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.15
$0.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.10
$0.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.82
$-0.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 11?
699 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 11?
257 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- OVER
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5
226 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- ATLANTA DREAM
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream
209 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- OVER
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?$0.98Jul 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?$1.08Jul 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?$1.01Jul 13, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?$1.17Jul 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.96Jul 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 13, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?$2.00Jul 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.93Jul 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.92Jul 13, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.03Jul 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.03Jul 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.06Jul 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$0.98Jul 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.10Jul 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$1.05Jul 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$0.92Jul 13, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$1.06Jul 13, 00:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.