Devoted-Parsnip
0x5ee81b50f7887886450c87a9587ed53f263ce1c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
6867 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
4000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2863 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-800.48
- YES
Trump says boden in debate?
1980 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$307.84Jul 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.0KJul 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.0KMar 1, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.6KJan 14, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$430.56Jan 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$100.00Jul 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$100.00Jul 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$100.00Jul 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$250.00Jul 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$500.00Jul 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$1.5KJul 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$379.63Jul 5, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$300.49Jul 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$250.00Jul 2, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$250.00Jul 1, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$67.20Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$32.80Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out by July 4? $291.89Jun 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $99.96Jun 27, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $100.00Jun 27, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $610.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.