Finished-Heartache
0x5eea560fdb88c7b75f75103f6733669b25c333ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$55.01
Total PnL
$-29.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
23 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$22.67
$5.67
- PHILLIES
Phillies vs. Reds
15 shares @ 47.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$14.60
$7.60
- YES
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
13 shares @ 78.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$12.75
$2.75
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.99
$-2.01
- YES
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
58 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Mariners
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.00Aug 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$7.00Aug 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Reds$7.00Aug 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$3.00Aug 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$7.00Aug 8, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$11.00Aug 7, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?$3.00Aug 3, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$10.00Aug 1, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Mariners$3.00Jul 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$7.00Jul 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$10.00Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$10.00Jul 25, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.