Fine-Expectation
0x5ef74f9f90b369958bfd37bcf9750ff0d624e75d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-405.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2765 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-94.01
- YES
Will FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?
1654 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2024$0.00
$-8.27
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
540 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-161.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
200 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
184 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.84
- YES
Solana above $155 on October 4?
179 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-102.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 12?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.19Nov 30, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$7.65Nov 29, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?$150.00Nov 23, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?$11.20Nov 23, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$83.33Nov 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$20.00Nov 15, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$232.14Nov 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$11.55Nov 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$0.45Nov 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$4.00Nov 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$13.00Nov 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 12?$1.25Nov 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$50.00Nov 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$94.01Nov 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?$5.05Sep 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?$3.22Sep 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 4?$64.38Sep 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 4?$38.18Sep 28, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $41.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.