Messy-Nail
0x5f017e918366d84381a2f9078db65c2b2b5d645e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$649.11
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
12870 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.68
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
11851 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-230.43
- YES
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
11500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-27.48
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
10276 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-256.38
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
4336 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-150.10
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
3543 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-31.89
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
3172 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-62.21
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
2573 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-56.28
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2475 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-513.44
- YES
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
2139 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-104.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 1, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$508.71Feb 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?$8.06Aug 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$24.50Aug 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$8.70Aug 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$10.75Aug 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$10.11Aug 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.00Aug 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.00Aug 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$51.00Aug 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$82.00Aug 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$24.00Aug 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$4.20Aug 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$6.24Aug 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$12.10Aug 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?$0.60Aug 9, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$6.97Aug 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$19.25Aug 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$27.50Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$87.60Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.