Unrealistic-Scholar
0x5f03d918925d8d5db9de79863d66682c6cd7f7f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-587.37
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
179 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
93 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
87 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
58 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Argentina to win the second half?
42 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
France vs. England: Second half draw?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?$2.58Jul 22, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?$9.43Jul 22, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?$5.12Jul 22, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?$10.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?$5.13Jul 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGórnik Zabrze leading at halftime?$1.05Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.92Jul 19, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$6.65Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$40.61Jul 19, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMFrance to win the second half?$62.50Jul 19, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$6.25Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$45.98Jul 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$1.04Jul 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5$2.08Jul 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Second half draw?$1.05Jul 18, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Second half draw?$1.05Jul 18, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance to win the second half?$50.50Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$40.26Jul 18, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$110.19Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$23.70Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $24.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.