Unacceptable-Pattern-Proposal
0x5f0405912aa753b185b70b9735c2ca6900fabaea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$271.85
Total PnL
$-64.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$48.08
$-1.92
- YES
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$46.67
$-3.33
- YES
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$46.30
$-3.70
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$45.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
168 shares @ 23.3¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$40.29
$1.26
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?
374 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$35.54
$1.87
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 31.2¢·now 31.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.14
$0.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?$35.20Jul 11, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$35.24Jul 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$40.53Jul 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.57Jul 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.06Jul 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.13Jul 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.17Jul 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$9.89Jul 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.24Jul 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$6.96Jul 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.10Jul 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.17Jul 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$5.05Jul 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$5.22Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.55Jul 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.18Jul 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.51Jul 11, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.20Jul 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.03Jul 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.16Jul 11, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.