Clumsy-Tray
0x5f0535c7d3132bb4c7acb28832f556a98627e34e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.22
Total PnL
$-37.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$1.22
- NO
Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?
17 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.37Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.37Nov 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$3.54Oct 19, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$2.10Oct 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?$1.00Oct 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.00Oct 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLObama federally charged in 2025?$4.44Oct 16, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$0.00Oct 16, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$0.00Oct 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.80Oct 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$3.00Oct 16, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$1.49Oct 16, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$3.23Oct 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$1.00Oct 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLObama arrested in 2025?$1.55Oct 4, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Sep 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Dictator" during return show on September 23?$1.00Sep 23, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".