Feminine-Warden
0x5f0af0945aae402d2d5e3714d7ab752359fac5c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$101.97
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$29.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- SPAIN
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
26 shares @ 58.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$25.53
$10.53
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$19.74
$4.74
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$19.45
$4.45
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
114 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.57
$0.57
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
21 shares @ 46.8¢·now 32.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.91
$-3.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
6175 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
3224 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-119.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
3180 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-209.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
2297 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-164.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$14.35Jul 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$2.76Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$3.12Jul 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$15.18Jul 19, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.31Jul 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$10.46Jul 19, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$10.27Jul 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$20.39Jul 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?$15.15Jul 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$20.45Jul 19, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$187.50Jul 19, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.01Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.01Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $23.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.