Serene-Front-Tofu
0x5f0d338f8faf1b175044ce4945d798aa68dde609
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$57.18
Total PnL
$-90.25
Realised
$12.33
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
407 shares @ 1.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$18.92
$13.92
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.72
$4.72
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1043 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.69
$-4.31
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.52
$0.82
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.90
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
134 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.41
$-2.01
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$1.04Jun 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on June 19?$1.05Jun 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?$5.20Jun 18, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$20.83Jun 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET$26.68Jun 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET$5.33Jun 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.31Jun 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5$2.05Jun 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$5.11Jun 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET$7.46Jun 17, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET$4.91Jun 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET$5.33Jun 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.99Jun 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET$9.48Jun 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$12.21Jun 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET$5.19Jun 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.23Jun 17, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.