Unsightly-Tool
0x5f1413c4fa1b7878beae4351de7892ef519a2f98
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$185.19
Total PnL
$-124.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$185.19
$85.19
- YES
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$98.07Mar 28, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$121.20Mar 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?$110.88Mar 28, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before April?$167.01Mar 28, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill America ban Zyn in 2024?$98.79Mar 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump and Biden debate before Election?$99.16Mar 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Lebanon before April?$1.1KMar 28, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal Legislative Election: Will the Democratic Alliance (AD) win over 30% of votes?$0.00Mar 28, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael ground offensive in Rafah by March 15?$0.00Mar 21, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Mar 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?$100.00Mar 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$97.63Mar 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before April?$100.00Mar 9, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before April?$5.00Mar 9, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden debate before Election?$100.00Mar 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$100.00Mar 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal Legislative Election: Will the Democratic Alliance (AD) win over 30% of votes?$100.00Mar 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?$100.00Mar 9, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address?$0.00Mar 9, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address?$0.00Mar 9, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $142.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.