Regular-Manifestation
0x5f1b47779d496ff9f6bd72101a4e4729f0f9b988
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$21.22
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$-0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$16.71
$0.02
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.40
$0.41
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?$429.14Mar 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?$446.26Mar 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$2.00Mar 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?$2.00Mar 29, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?$3.26Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$6.07Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24?$6.11Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24?$7.15Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$34.30Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24?$7.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24?$5.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$6.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?$3.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$33.00Dec 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?$2.06Dec 2, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?$5.15Dec 2, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?$5.17Dec 2, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMAlex Morono vs. Carlos Leal$0.00Jun 17, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $58.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.