Kindhearted-Vertigo
0x5f210fcfa15b2de9805637179981278dfb16805e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$-309.03
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
8243 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?
8151 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
6537 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-713.71
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?
4747 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-689.48
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?
4286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
4125 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
3333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
2984 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-168.66
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$11.20Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$350.41Jul 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$302.12Jul 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$15.51Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$20.00Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$1.00Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$1.3KJul 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$583.29Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$637.41Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$34.78Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$1.0KJul 18, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$1.0KJul 18, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KJul 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$356.66Jul 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 1 England?$346.91Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJul 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.9KJul 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$2.0KJul 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.0KJul 18, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $807.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.