0x5f270824aaf85a2353702df691b9867499277d0d
0x5f270824aaf85a2353702df691b9867499277d0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.41
Total PnL
$-139.49
Realised
$-3.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?
16 shares @ 55.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$16.41
$7.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?
38 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 21?
38 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 22?
38 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 21?
36 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 12?
36 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?
32 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 22?
31 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 20?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 24?$1.53Feb 24, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 24?$3.82Feb 24, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$12.91Feb 24, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$19.58Feb 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?$9.12Feb 24, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?$1.64Feb 24, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$5.79Feb 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$5.62Feb 24, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$3.20Feb 24, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?$5.81Feb 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?$4.47Feb 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?$9.29Feb 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 24?$3.78Feb 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 24?$6.96Feb 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 24?$1.14Feb 24, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 23?$10.70Feb 24, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?$5.16Feb 24, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 24?$6.97Feb 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?$6.99Feb 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?$10.80Feb 24, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.