0x5f2bb6605ea8eea6f249f07f08936646c9490e08
0x5f2bb6605ea8eea6f249f07f08936646c9490e08
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$38.11
Total PnL
$-6.91
Realised
$-12.27
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$10.01
$0.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.99
$0.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
8 shares @ 49.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$8.09
$4.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
5 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.02
$0.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.00
$3.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
15 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
15 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$4.05Jun 20, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.35Jun 20, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.05Jun 20, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.24Jun 20, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.85Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.30Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.12Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.78Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.95Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.65Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.00Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.35Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.54Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.71Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.25Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.60Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.65Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.70Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.90Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.75Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.