Gummy-Vagrant
0x5f2c11e7d785d0ba5277935c9a3951fec485ad36
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will H win the second most seats in the Norway election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Solana above $250 on September 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?$3.01Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?$3.02Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$4.01Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on January 8?$4.09Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 8?$5.00Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on January 8?$5.04Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 8?$6.01Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 8?$6.12Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on January 8?$7.01Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$4.00Jan 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?$3.00Jan 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?$4.00Jan 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on January 8?$4.00Jan 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on January 8?$7.00Jan 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 8?$5.00Jan 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on January 8?$5.00Jan 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 8?$6.00Jan 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 8?$6.00Jan 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 8?$4.00Jan 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?$3.00Jan 8, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.