0x5f2c854e1f67bbe87d204ce6392584c293e76e24
0x5f2c854e1f67bbe87d204ce6392584c293e76e24
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$33.06
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-48.23
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$30.00
$27.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 32.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.06
$-8.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 24?
11192 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-29.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 15?
1530 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 15?
1485 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on April 15?
1470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 15?
1470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 15?
1470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?
1455 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.15Jun 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$5.09Jun 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.01Jun 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.65Jun 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.65Jun 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.65Jun 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.15Jun 17, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.25Jun 17, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.75Jun 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.10Jun 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.80Jun 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.39Jun 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.81Jun 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.55Jun 17, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.28Jun 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.11Jun 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$4.40Jun 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.79Jun 16, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.54Jun 16, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.10Jun 16, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.