Misty-Pool
0x5f2daa02266e3988655c4ad9766026d0a560ac7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-155.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 24?
219 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?
217 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 21?
171 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
152 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?
123 shares @ 98.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-121.48
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
115 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?
85 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?
85 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?
77 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 12?
60 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$121.48Jun 5, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$100.36May 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$97.55May 28, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$1.70May 24, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 24?$2.11May 23, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.36May 18, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 18?$19.52May 16, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMCobie mindshare all time high by March 31?$30.92May 9, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?$78.66Apr 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 18?$16.79Apr 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?$75.59Apr 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 22?$0.00Apr 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?$2.10Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$95.53Apr 1, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCobie mindshare all time high by March 31?$29.59Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?$1.42Mar 31, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 26?$0.00Mar 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$92.66Mar 29, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 25?$95.47Mar 27, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.