Concrete-Thermometer
0x5f340b76b75d64cbe1246777b3a39a360d4f03d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$7.90
Total PnL
$-18.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
69 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.90
$-1.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
5528 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2770 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2768 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2768 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2766 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2764 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2764 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2764 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2762 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.11Mar 18, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$9.00Mar 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$8.89Feb 2, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.02Feb 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $1.02Jan 7, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.54Jan 7, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $1.00Dec 8, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.50Dec 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 24, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$60.00Nov 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$60.00Nov 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$30.00Nov 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$30.00Nov 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$38.50Nov 10, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$40.00Nov 10, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$112.00Nov 4, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $561.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".