Dead-Screwup
0x5f45e39f117f4848b7d84d14ac5bb650eb55b568
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$62.20
Total PnL
$-542.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$50.00
$3.50
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.20
$-79.80
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1800 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1400 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1100 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?
371 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.15
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
174 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-147.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$73.02Feb 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$17.00Feb 17, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.40Feb 17, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.13Feb 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$2.00Feb 16, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.24Feb 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.24Feb 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.41Feb 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.40Feb 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.00Feb 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$40.48Feb 16, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$40.48Feb 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$40.48Feb 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$108.50Feb 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$120.00Feb 1, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.71Feb 1, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$68.81Feb 1, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.20Feb 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.60Feb 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.60Feb 1, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $46.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.