Thick-Alliance
0x5f48a8fd6ab83b210fc975d8e7ad6a3f9bc59cfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$437.10
Total PnL
$-89.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?
319 shares @ 74.4¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$271.34
$33.72
- YES
Will the announcers say "What A Player" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
160 shares @ 74.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$78.40
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?
128 shares @ 43.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$46.16
$-8.98
- YES
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$15.30
$0.10
- YES
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
180 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$14.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 12.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.50
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
15 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 29?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$1.80Jun 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$1.80Jun 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$1.65Jun 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$15.20Jun 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$21.00Jun 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.50Jun 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$12.14Jun 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$17.60Jun 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$4.40Jun 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?$16.20Jun 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$0.12Jun 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$0.22Jun 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?$6.10Jun 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?$10.50Jun 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.00Jun 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What A Player" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$12.20Jun 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What A Player" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$14.20Jun 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What A Player" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$14.40Jun 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$2.00Jun 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?$3.44Jun 18, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.