Spicy-Negotiation
0x5f518dd63d9f1434dd06e5bd88e3001efde8e179
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
10296 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
6634 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-383.04
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
5477 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-236.99
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
4884 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-309.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3507 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?
3440 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
2500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
2264 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-264.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
2068 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-160.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Jazz$8.00Mar 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIdaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles$10.00Mar 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Jazz$33.38Mar 3, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIdaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles$15.00Mar 3, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIdaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles$50.00Mar 3, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$52.00Mar 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings$15.00Mar 3, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$23.00Mar 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Delaware State Hornets$204.61Mar 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings$24.50Mar 3, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$20.00Mar 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamar Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskies$10.00Mar 3, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSoutheastern Louisiana Lions vs. New Orleans Privateers$5.00Mar 3, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$20.00Mar 3, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSoutheastern Louisiana Lions vs. New Orleans Privateers$20.00Mar 3, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders$40.00Mar 3, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders$10.31Mar 3, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcNeese State Cowboys vs. Nicholls Colonels$1.17Mar 3, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorthwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros$11.00Mar 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina Central Eagles vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks$3.00Mar 3, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.