Constant-Emerald
0x5f5a5408ea5cdf3d48032a20bbe2581e8d4117cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-204.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7661 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?
1181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- GAM
MSI Play-in: GAM vs. Bilibili Gaming
587 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-69.84
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
510 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
177 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?
62 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$92.00Nov 4, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$45.00Oct 26, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$11.63Oct 26, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$70.42Oct 26, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$77.01Sep 30, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$120.00Sep 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$129.32Sep 30, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$10.67Sep 30, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$5.00Sep 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$50.00Sep 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$50.00Sep 9, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.00Sep 9, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$522.01Aug 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$299.08Aug 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSI Play-in: GAM vs. Bilibili Gaming$69.84Jun 28, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$69.84Jun 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$935.70Jan 1, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $130.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".